Nagoya Grampusvs
Avispa FukuokaNagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 28 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nagoya Grampus43%
- Nagoya Grampus 43%
- Draw 26%
- Avispa Fukuoka 32%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nagoya Grampus, rating it at 42.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Nagoya Grampus won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Nagoya Grampus's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nagoya Grampus: LDDLL
Avispa Fukuoka: WLWDL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
- Tofiko's model favours Nagoya Grampus (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.