Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64%
- Draw 24%
- Shimizu S-Pulse 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima, rating it at 63.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWLWW
Shimizu S-Pulse: DWWLD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-26 | Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
- Tofiko's model favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.