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Urawa Red Diamonds crestUrawa Red DiamondsvsCerezo Osaka crestCerezo Osaka

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueWed, 25 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Urawa Red Diamonds43%

Urawa Red Diamonds 43%
Draw 24%
Cerezo Osaka 34%
  • Urawa Red Diamonds 43%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cerezo Osaka 34%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Urawa Red Diamonds, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Urawa Red Diamonds won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Urawa Red Diamonds: DWLLD

Cerezo Osaka: DWWDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-28Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka0–0
2025-03-28Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka?
Tofiko's model favours Urawa Red Diamonds (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka kick off?
Wed, 25 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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