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Urawa Red Diamonds crestUrawa Red DiamondsvsNagoya Grampus crestNagoya Grampus

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Urawa Red Diamonds51%

Urawa Red Diamonds 51%
Draw 24%
Nagoya Grampus 25%
  • Urawa Red Diamonds 51%
  • Draw 24%
  • Nagoya Grampus 25%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Urawa Red Diamonds, rating it at 50.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Nagoya Grampus's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Urawa Red Diamonds: DWLLD

Nagoya Grampus: LDDLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-08-16Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus2–1
2025-05-24Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus?
Tofiko's model favours Urawa Red Diamonds (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 11:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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