Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueSun, 13 Sep 2026 09:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Albirex Niigata48%
- Albirex Niigata 48%
- Draw 23%
- Montedio Yamagata 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Albirex Niigata, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Albirex Niigata won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Albirex Niigata: LWLDD
Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata | 1–0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata | 3–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
- Tofiko's model favours Albirex Niigata (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 09:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.