Consadole Sapporo crestConsadole SapporovsRoasso Kumamoto crestRoasso Kumamoto

Consadole Sapporo 3-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sat, 28 Jun 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Consadole Sapporo51%

  • Consadole Sapporo 51%
  • Draw 22%
  • Roasso Kumamoto 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Consadole Sapporo, rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Consadole Sapporo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Consadole Sapporo's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Consadole Sapporo: LLLLW

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-28Consadole Sapporo vs Roasso Kumamoto3–2
2025-02-23Roasso Kumamoto vs Consadole Sapporo3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Tofiko's model favours Consadole Sapporo (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Consadole Sapporo vs Roasso Kumamoto kick off?
Sat, 28 Jun 2025 05:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Consadole Sapporo vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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