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FC Ryukyu crestFC RyukyuvsKagoshima United crestKagoshima United

FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueSun, 03 May 2026 09:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: FC Ryukyu 11 Kagoshima United

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kagoshima United42%

FC Ryukyu 17%
Draw 41%
Kagoshima United 42%
  • FC Ryukyu 17%
  • Draw 41%
  • Kagoshima United 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Kagoshima United, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and FC Ryukyu won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. FC Ryukyu's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Kagoshima United's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • FC Ryukyu's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Ryukyu: WDWDL

Kagoshima United: WDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United?
Tofiko's model favours Kagoshima United (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United kick off?
Sun, 03 May 2026 09:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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