FC Imabari crestFC ImabarivsSagan Tosu crestSagan Tosu

FC Imabari 1-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, H2H & Form

J2 LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sagan Tosu45%

  • FC Imabari 31%
  • Draw 24%
  • Sagan Tosu 45%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Imabari won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

FC Imabari: WDLLW

Sagan Tosu: LWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu1–0
2025-09-27FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu1–1
2025-03-01Sagan Tosu vs FC Imabari1–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?
Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureSagan Tosu vs Imabari13 Mar 2027 →