FC Imabari 1-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, H2H & Form
J2 LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sagan Tosu45%
- FC Imabari 31%
- Draw 24%
- Sagan Tosu 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Imabari won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
FC Imabari: WDLLW
Sagan Tosu: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Sagan Tosu vs FC Imabari | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?
- Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.