Roasso Kumamoto crestRoasso KumamotovsIwaki FC crestIwaki FC

Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 Iwaki FC — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sun, 05 Oct 2025 06:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Iwaki FC49%

  • Roasso Kumamoto 28%
  • Draw 23%
  • Iwaki FC 49%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Iwaki FC, rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Roasso Kumamoto won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Iwaki FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Iwaki FC: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-05Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki FC0–2
2025-06-01Iwaki FC vs Roasso Kumamoto5–1

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FAQ

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki FC?
Tofiko's model favours Iwaki FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki FC kick off?
Sun, 05 Oct 2025 06:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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