Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 JEF United Chiba — Result, H2H & Form
J2 League 2026Sun, 14 Sep 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs JEF United Chiba48%
- Renofa Yamaguchi 26%
- Draw 26%
- JEF United Chiba 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick JEF United Chiba, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Renofa Yamaguchi: DLLWL
JEF United Chiba: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United Chiba | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | JEF United Chiba vs Renofa Yamaguchi | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United Chiba?
- Tofiko's model favours JEF United Chiba (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United Chiba kick off?
- Sun, 14 Sep 2025 10:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
- What is the Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.