JEF United Chiba crestJEF United ChibavsRoasso Kumamoto crestRoasso Kumamoto

JEF United Chiba 2-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 09:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs JEF United Chiba65%

  • JEF United Chiba 65%
  • Draw 21%
  • Roasso Kumamoto 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick JEF United Chiba, rating it at 64.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and JEF United Chiba won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. JEF United Chiba's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 1 of them and conceded in 4. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

JEF United Chiba: LDLLL

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-27JEF United Chiba vs Roasso Kumamoto2–2
2025-04-29Roasso Kumamoto vs JEF United Chiba0–0

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FAQ

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Tofiko's model favours JEF United Chiba (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does JEF United Chiba vs Roasso Kumamoto kick off?
Sat, 27 Sep 2025 09:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the JEF United Chiba vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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