Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama Prediction, H2H & Form
J2 LeagueSat, 07 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sagan Tosu49%
- Sagan Tosu 49%
- Draw 26%
- Kataller Toyama 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 48.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sagan Tosu won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sagan Tosu: DWLDW
Kataller Toyama: LLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Kataller Toyama vs Sagan Tosu | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
- Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.