Sagan Tosu crestSagan TosuvsKataller Toyama crestKataller Toyama

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama Prediction, H2H & Form

J2 LeagueSat, 07 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sagan Tosu49%

  • Sagan Tosu 49%
  • Draw 26%
  • Kataller Toyama 25%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 48.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Sagan Tosu won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sagan Tosu: DWLDW

Kataller Toyama: LLWWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-26Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama4–0
2025-11-09Kataller Toyama vs Sagan Tosu3–1
2025-03-23Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama kick off?
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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