Montedio Yamagata crestMontedio YamagatavsJEF United Chiba crestJEF United Chiba

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 JEF United Chiba — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sat, 12 Jul 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs JEF United Chiba42%

  • Montedio Yamagata 35%
  • Draw 23%
  • JEF United Chiba 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks JEF United Chiba, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Montedio Yamagata: WDWLW

JEF United Chiba: LDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-12Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba0–1
2025-03-01JEF United Chiba vs Montedio Yamagata3–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba?
Tofiko's model favours JEF United Chiba (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba kick off?
Sat, 12 Jul 2025 10:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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