Montedio Yamagata 0-1 JEF United Chiba — Result, H2H & Form
J2 League 2026Sat, 12 Jul 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs JEF United Chiba42%
- Montedio Yamagata 35%
- Draw 23%
- JEF United Chiba 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks JEF United Chiba, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Montedio Yamagata: WDWLW
JEF United Chiba: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-12 | Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | JEF United Chiba vs Montedio Yamagata | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba?
- Tofiko's model favours JEF United Chiba (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba kick off?
- Sat, 12 Jul 2025 10:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
- What is the Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.