Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueWed, 25 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Jubilo Iwata41%
- Montedio Yamagata 38%
- Draw 22%
- Jubilo Iwata 41%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Jubilo Iwata, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW
Jubilo Iwata: DDWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Jubilo Iwata vs Montedio Yamagata | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata?
- Tofiko's model favours Jubilo Iwata (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata kick off?
- Wed, 25 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.