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Montedio Yamagata crestMontedio YamagatavsJubilo Iwata crestJubilo Iwata

Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueWed, 25 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Jubilo Iwata41%

Montedio Yamagata 38%
Draw 22%
Jubilo Iwata 41%
  • Montedio Yamagata 38%
  • Draw 22%
  • Jubilo Iwata 41%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Jubilo Iwata, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW

Jubilo Iwata: DDWLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-11-23Jubilo Iwata vs Montedio Yamagata2–2
2025-04-05Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata?
Tofiko's model favours Jubilo Iwata (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata kick off?
Wed, 25 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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