Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Montedio Yamagata44%
- Montedio Yamagata 44%
- Draw 24%
- Kataller Toyama 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Montedio Yamagata, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW
Kataller Toyama: DWLDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Kataller Toyama vs Montedio Yamagata | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama?
- Tofiko's model favours Montedio Yamagata (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.