Montedio Yamagatavs
Roasso KumamotoMontedio Yamagata 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, H2H & Form
J2 League 2026Sun, 19 Oct 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Montedio Yamagata58%
- Montedio Yamagata 58%
- Draw 21%
- Roasso Kumamoto 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Montedio Yamagata, rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Montedio Yamagata's last 5 produced 14 goals — 2.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Montedio Yamagata: WDWLW
Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | Montedio Yamagata vs Roasso Kumamoto | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Roasso Kumamoto vs Montedio Yamagata | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- Tofiko's model favours Montedio Yamagata (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Roasso Kumamoto kick off?
- Sun, 19 Oct 2025 05:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
- What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.