Montedio Yamagatavs
Sagan TosuMontedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueSat, 26 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sagan Tosu39%
- Montedio Yamagata 37%
- Draw 24%
- Sagan Tosu 39%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW
Sagan Tosu: WLDDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-25 | Sagan Tosu vs Montedio Yamagata | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?
- Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.