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Montedio Yamagata crestMontedio YamagatavsTochigi City crestTochigi City

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueSun, 09 Aug 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Montedio Yamagata46%

Montedio Yamagata 46%
Draw 23%
Tochigi City 31%
  • Montedio Yamagata 46%
  • Draw 23%
  • Tochigi City 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Montedio Yamagata, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Montedio Yamagata won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW

Tochigi City: LWDLW

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Tofiko's model favours Montedio Yamagata (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City kick off?
Sun, 09 Aug 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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