Montedio Yamagatavs
Vegalta SendaiMontedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vegalta Sendai43%
- Montedio Yamagata 33%
- Draw 24%
- Vegalta Sendai 43%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vegalta Sendai, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Montedio Yamagata won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW
Vegalta Sendai: LDWLW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata | 3–1 |
| 2025-06-15 | Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai | 3–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
- Tofiko's model favours Vegalta Sendai (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.