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RB Omiya Ardija crestRB Omiya ArdijavsMontedio Yamagata crestMontedio Yamagata

RB Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueSat, 14 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Omiya Ardija55%

RB Omiya Ardija 55%
Draw 21%
Montedio Yamagata 24%
  • RB Omiya Ardija 55%
  • Draw 21%
  • Montedio Yamagata 24%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick RB Omiya Ardija, rating it at 55.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and RB Omiya Ardija won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

RB Omiya Ardija: DWLWL

Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-26Montedio Yamagata vs RB Omiya Ardija2–2
2025-02-15RB Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata2–1

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FAQ

Who will win RB Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?
Tofiko's model favours RB Omiya Ardija (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RB Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata kick off?
Sat, 14 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the RB Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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