RB Omiya Ardija crestRB Omiya ArdijavsRoasso Kumamoto crestRoasso Kumamoto

RB Omiya Ardija 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sat, 23 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Omiya Ardija65%

  • RB Omiya Ardija 65%
  • Draw 20%
  • Roasso Kumamoto 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Omiya Ardija, rating it at 64.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and RB Omiya Ardija won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. RB Omiya Ardija's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

RB Omiya Ardija: DWWWW

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-08-23RB Omiya Ardija vs Roasso Kumamoto1–0
2025-03-02Roasso Kumamoto vs RB Omiya Ardija0–4

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FAQ

Who will win RB Omiya Ardija vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Tofiko's model favours RB Omiya Ardija (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RB Omiya Ardija vs Roasso Kumamoto kick off?
Sat, 23 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the RB Omiya Ardija vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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