Montedio Yamagata crestMontedio YamagatavsRenofa Yamaguchi crestRenofa Yamaguchi

Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 09:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Montedio Yamagata54%

  • Montedio Yamagata 54%
  • Draw 23%
  • Renofa Yamaguchi 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Montedio Yamagata, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Montedio Yamagata won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Montedio Yamagata: WDWLW

Renofa Yamaguchi: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-27Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi2–1
2025-05-18Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Tofiko's model favours Montedio Yamagata (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi kick off?
Sat, 27 Sep 2025 09:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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