Roasso Kumamoto crestRoasso KumamotovsJubilo Iwata crestJubilo Iwata

Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sun, 06 Jul 2025 09:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Jubilo Iwata48%

  • Roasso Kumamoto 30%
  • Draw 22%
  • Jubilo Iwata 48%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Jubilo Iwata, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Roasso Kumamoto won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Jubilo Iwata's last 5 produced 13 goals — 2.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Jubilo Iwata: WDWLD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-06Roasso Kumamoto vs Jubilo Iwata2–0
2025-04-13Jubilo Iwata vs Roasso Kumamoto1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Jubilo Iwata?
Tofiko's model favours Jubilo Iwata (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Roasso Kumamoto vs Jubilo Iwata kick off?
Sun, 06 Jul 2025 09:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Roasso Kumamoto vs Jubilo Iwata head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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