Roasso Kumamoto crestRoasso KumamotovsMito Hollyhock crestMito Hollyhock

Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Mito Hollyhock — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sun, 03 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Mito Hollyhock54%

  • Roasso Kumamoto 23%
  • Draw 23%
  • Mito Hollyhock 54%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Mito Hollyhock, rating it at 53.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Roasso Kumamoto won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Mito Hollyhock's last 5 produced 13 goals — 2.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Mito Hollyhock: DLWDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-08-03Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito Hollyhock2–1
2025-05-17Mito Hollyhock vs Roasso Kumamoto2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito Hollyhock?
Tofiko's model favours Mito Hollyhock (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito Hollyhock kick off?
Sun, 03 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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