Roasso Kumamoto crestRoasso KumamotovsTokushima Vortis crestTokushima Vortis

Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Tokushima Vortis — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Mon, 15 Sep 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Tokushima Vortis52%

  • Roasso Kumamoto 22%
  • Draw 26%
  • Tokushima Vortis 52%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Tokushima Vortis, rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Roasso Kumamoto won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD

Tokushima Vortis: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-15Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis2–1
2025-03-09Tokushima Vortis vs Roasso Kumamoto0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis?
Tofiko's model favours Tokushima Vortis (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis kick off?
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 10:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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