Roasso Kumamotovs
V-Varen NagasakiRoasso Kumamoto 1-3 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, H2H & Form
J2 League 2026Sun, 22 Jun 2025 04:35 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs V-Varen Nagasaki55%
- Roasso Kumamoto 24%
- Draw 22%
- V-Varen Nagasaki 55%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick V-Varen Nagasaki, rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Roasso Kumamoto won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. V-Varen Nagasaki's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Roasso Kumamoto: WLDDD
V-Varen Nagasaki: LWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-22 | Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki | 1–3 |
| 2025-02-15 | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
- Tofiko's model favours V-Varen Nagasaki (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki kick off?
- Sun, 22 Jun 2025 04:35 GMT — J2 League 2026.
- What is the Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.