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SC Sagamihara crestSC SagamiharavsRoasso Kumamoto crestRoasso Kumamoto

SC Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueSat, 06 Jun 2026 05:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: SC Sagamihara 30 Roasso Kumamoto

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Sagamihara54%

SC Sagamihara 54%
Draw 22%
Roasso Kumamoto 25%
  • SC Sagamihara 54%
  • Draw 22%
  • Roasso Kumamoto 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Sagamihara, rating it at 53.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and SC Sagamihara won all of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. SC Sagamihara's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SC Sagamihara's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SC Sagamihara: WDLDW

Roasso Kumamoto: LLWDL

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-06-06SC Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto3–0

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FAQ

Who will win SC Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Tofiko's model favours SC Sagamihara (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto kick off?
Sat, 06 Jun 2026 05:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the SC Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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