Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Shonan Bellmare39%
- Shonan Bellmare 39%
- Draw 26%
- Albirex Niigata 36%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Shonan Bellmare, rating it at 38.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Shonan Bellmare: WLDLL
Albirex Niigata: WLDDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata | 5–2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
- Tofiko's model favours Shonan Bellmare (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.