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Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsAlbirex Niigata crestAlbirex Niigata

Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Shonan Bellmare39%

Shonan Bellmare 39%
Draw 26%
Albirex Niigata 36%
  • Shonan Bellmare 39%
  • Draw 26%
  • Albirex Niigata 36%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Shonan Bellmare, rating it at 38.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Shonan Bellmare: WLDLL

Albirex Niigata: WLDDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-11-08Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata5–2
2025-05-25Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
Tofiko's model favours Shonan Bellmare (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

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