Shonan Bellmarevs
Montedio YamagataShonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction, H2H & Stats
J2 LeagueSat, 15 Aug 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Shonan Bellmare44%
- Shonan Bellmare 44%
- Draw 23%
- Montedio Yamagata 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Shonan Bellmare, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Shonan Bellmare: WWLDL
Montedio Yamagata: LWLDW
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
- Tofiko's model favours Shonan Bellmare (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.