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Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsSagan Tosu crestSagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H & Stats

J2 LeagueTue, 03 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sagan Tosu39%

Shonan Bellmare 35%
Draw 26%
Sagan Tosu 39%
  • Shonan Bellmare 35%
  • Draw 26%
  • Sagan Tosu 39%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sagan Tosu, rating it at 39.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Shonan Bellmare: WLDLL

Sagan Tosu: WLDDW

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-06-06Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu kick off?
Tue, 03 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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