V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, H2H & Form
J2 League 2026Sat, 20 Sep 2025 09:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs V-Varen Nagasaki64%
- V-Varen Nagasaki 64%
- Draw 21%
- Kataller Toyama 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick V-Varen Nagasaki, rating it at 64.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
V-Varen Nagasaki: LWLLW
Kataller Toyama: LLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-06 | Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama?
- Tofiko's model favours V-Varen Nagasaki (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama kick off?
- Sat, 20 Sep 2025 09:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
- What is the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.