V-Varen Nagasaki crestV-Varen NagasakivsKataller Toyama crestKataller Toyama

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, H2H & Form

J2 League 2026Sat, 20 Sep 2025 09:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs V-Varen Nagasaki64%

  • V-Varen Nagasaki 64%
  • Draw 21%
  • Kataller Toyama 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick V-Varen Nagasaki, rating it at 64.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

V-Varen Nagasaki: LWLLW

Kataller Toyama: LLWWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-20V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama1–1
2025-05-06Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama?
Tofiko's model favours V-Varen Nagasaki (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama kick off?
Sat, 20 Sep 2025 09:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
What is the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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