V-Varen Nagasakivs
Renofa YamaguchiV-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, H2H & Form
J2 League 2026Sun, 24 Aug 2025 09:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs V-Varen Nagasaki62%
- V-Varen Nagasaki 62%
- Draw 22%
- Renofa Yamaguchi 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick V-Varen Nagasaki, rating it at 61.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. V-Varen Nagasaki's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Renofa Yamaguchi's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
V-Varen Nagasaki: LWLLW
Renofa Yamaguchi: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi | 1–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
- Tofiko's model favours V-Varen Nagasaki (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi kick off?
- Sun, 24 Aug 2025 09:00 GMT — J2 League 2026.
- What is the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.