Vegalta Sendai 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, H2H & Form

Both model families pick Vegalta Sendai, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Vegalta Sendai won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Vegalta Sendai's last 5 produced 13 goals — 2.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 3. Roasso Kumamoto's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.