Burton Albion F.C. crestBurton Albion F.C.vsLuton Town F.C. crestLuton Town F.C.

Burton Albion F.C. vs Luton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League OneSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Luton Town F.C.45%

Tofiko26% / 29% / 45%
  • Burton Albion F.C.
  • Draw
  • Luton Town F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Burton Albion F.C. or draw55%
  • Draw or Luton Town F.C.74%
  • Burton Albion F.C. or Luton Town F.C.71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.544%
  • Under 2.556%

Both teams to score

  • Burton Albion F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Luton Town F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Luton Town F.C., rating it at 45.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Luton Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Burton Albion F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Burton Albion F.C.: LDLWD

Luton Town F.C.: WDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Luton Town F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.1–1
2025-08-30Burton Albion F.C. vs Luton Town F.C.0–3

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FAQ

Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Luton Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Luton Town F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Luton Town F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One.
What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Luton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLuton vs Burton Albion20 Mar 2027 →