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Gillingham crestGillinghamvsGrimsby Town F.C. crestGrimsby Town F.C.

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League TwoSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Grimsby Town F.C.59%

Gillingham 18%
Draw 24%
Grimsby Town F.C. 59%
  • Gillingham 18%
  • Draw 24%
  • Grimsby Town F.C. 59%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Grimsby Town F.C., rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Gillingham won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Gillingham: WWLWW

Grimsby Town F.C.: LWDWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-18Gillingham vs Grimsby Town F.C.1–4
2025-10-18Grimsby Town F.C. vs Gillingham1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Grimsby Town F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Gillingham vs Grimsby Town F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Gillingham vs Grimsby Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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