Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoFri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chesterfield F.C.58%
- Newport County A.F.C.
- Draw
- Chesterfield F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newport County A.F.C. or draw42%
- Draw or Chesterfield F.C.82%
- Newport County A.F.C. or Chesterfield F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Newport County A.F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Chesterfield F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 58.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Newport County A.F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newport County A.F.C.: WDDWW
Chesterfield F.C.: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.