Newport County A.F.C.vs
Chesterfield F.C.Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chesterfield F.C.58%
- Newport County A.F.C. 18%
- Draw 24%
- Chesterfield F.C. 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Newport County A.F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newport County A.F.C.: LWLDL
Chesterfield F.C.: DLDDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Newport County A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.