AJ Auxerrevs
FC NantesAJ Auxerre 0-0 FC Nantes — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AJ Auxerre47%
- AJ Auxerre 47%
- Draw 26%
- FC Nantes 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AJ Auxerre, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AJ Auxerre won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
AJ Auxerre: LLWDD
FC Nantes: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | FC Nantes vs AJ Auxerre | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-25 | FC Nantes vs AJ Auxerre | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-16 | AJ Auxerre vs Nantes | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-01 | Nantes vs AJ Auxerre | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours AJ Auxerre (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.