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AJ Auxerre crestAJ AuxerrevsFC Nantes crestFC Nantes

AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: AJ Auxerre 00 FC Nantes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AJ Auxerre47%

AJ Auxerre 47%
Draw 26%
FC Nantes 28%
  • AJ Auxerre 47%
  • Draw 26%
  • FC Nantes 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AJ Auxerre, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and AJ Auxerre won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AJ Auxerre: DLWWW

FC Nantes: WLDLW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 17%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes0–0
2025-08-30FC Nantes vs AJ Auxerre1–0
2025-05-10AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes1–1
2024-08-25FC Nantes vs AJ Auxerre2–0
2023-04-16AJ Auxerre vs Nantes2–1
2023-01-01Nantes vs AJ Auxerre1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes?
Tofiko's model favours AJ Auxerre (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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