Olympique de Marseille crestOlympique de MarseillevsParis Saint-Germain FC crestParis Saint-Germain FC

Olympique de Marseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain FC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sun, 20 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC49%

Tofiko29% / 22% / 49%
Market14% / 17% / 69%
  • Olympique de Marseille
  • Draw
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 48.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 1 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Olympique de Marseille: LLLLL

Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC1–2
2026-02-08Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille5–0
2025-09-22Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC1–0
2025-03-16Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille3–1
2024-10-27Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC0–3
2024-03-31Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain0–2
2023-09-24Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille4–0
2023-02-26Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain0–3
2022-10-16Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille1–0
2022-04-17Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
Sun, 20 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureParis Saint Germain vs Marseille7 Feb 2027 →