Olympique de Marseillevs
Paris Saint-Germain FCOlympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 20 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
- Olympique de Marseille 24%
- Draw 26%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 5–0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–3 |
| 2024-03-31 | Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille | 4–0 |
| 2023-02-26 | Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–3 |
| 2022-10-16 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-17 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2021-10-24 | Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.