Clermont Footvs
MarseilleClermont Foot 1-5 Marseille — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2023-2024Sat, 02 Mar 2024 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Marseille55%
- Clermont Foot 22%
- Draw 23%
- Marseille 55%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Marseille, rating it at 55.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Clermont Foot won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Marseille's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Clermont Foot's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Clermont Foot: DDLDD
Marseille: LWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-02 | Clermont Foot vs Marseille | 1–5 |
| 2023-12-17 | Marseille vs Clermont Foot | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Clermont Foot vs Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Marseille vs Clermont Foot | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-20 | Marseille vs Clermont Foot | 0–2 |
| 2021-10-31 | Clermont Foot vs Marseille | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Clermont Foot vs Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Marseille (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Clermont Foot vs Marseille kick off?
- Sat, 02 Mar 2024 20:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2023-2024.
- What is the Clermont Foot vs Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.