Le Havre ACvs
FC MetzLe Havre AC vs FC Metz Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 26 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Le Havre AC 4–4 FC Metz
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Le Havre AC52%
- Le Havre AC 52%
- Draw 25%
- FC Metz 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Le Havre AC, rating it at 51.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Le Havre AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Metz's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Le Havre AC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Le Havre AC: DWLWL
FC Metz: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Le Havre AC vs FC Metz | 4–4 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Metz vs Le Havre AC | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Le Havre vs FC Metz | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-29 | FC Metz vs Le Havre | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Le Havre AC vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours Le Havre AC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Le Havre AC vs FC Metz kick off?
- Sun, 26 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Le Havre AC vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.