Le Havre ACvs
AS Monaco FCLe Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC53%
- Le Havre AC 22%
- Draw 26%
- AS Monaco FC 53%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 52.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Le Havre AC won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Monaco FC's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Le Havre AC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Le Havre AC: LDWLW
AS Monaco FC: WDLWL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-16 | AS Monaco FC vs Le Havre AC | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-22 | AS Monaco FC vs Le Havre AC | 3–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | AS Monaco vs Le Havre | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Le Havre vs AS Monaco | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.