Montpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSCvsLe Havre AC crestLe Havre AC

Montpellier HSC 0-2 Le Havre AC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 06 Apr 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Montpellier HSC44%

  • Montpellier HSC 44%
  • Draw 24%
  • Le Havre AC 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Montpellier HSC, rating it at 43.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Montpellier HSC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Montpellier HSC: DWWDW

Le Havre AC: DLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-06Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre AC0–2
2024-11-03Le Havre AC vs Montpellier HSC1–0
2024-03-31Le Havre vs Montpellier HSC0–2
2023-08-13Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre AC?
Tofiko's model favours Montpellier HSC (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre AC kick off?
Sun, 06 Apr 2025 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre AC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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