Le Havre ACvs
AS Saint-EtienneLe Havre AC 1-1 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 09 Mar 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Le Havre AC50%
- Le Havre AC 50%
- Draw 24%
- AS Saint-Etienne 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Le Havre AC, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Le Havre AC won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Le Havre AC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Le Havre AC: DLWLL
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | Le Havre AC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-24 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Le Havre AC | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Le Havre AC vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours Le Havre AC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Le Havre AC vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Sun, 09 Mar 2025 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Le Havre AC vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.