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RC Lens crestRC LensvsAJ Auxerre crestAJ Auxerre

RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RC Lens62%

RC Lens 62%
Draw 26%
AJ Auxerre 12%
  • RC Lens 62%
  • Draw 26%
  • AJ Auxerre 12%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 62.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and RC Lens won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

RC Lens: WDWDW

AJ Auxerre: DLWWW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre1–0
2025-10-04AJ Auxerre vs RC Lens1–2
2025-04-27RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre0–4
2024-12-14AJ Auxerre vs RC Lens2–2
2023-06-03AJ Auxerre vs RC Lens1–3
2023-01-14RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre?
Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the RC Lens vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

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