RC Lensvs
FC MetzRC Lens vs FC Metz Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 08 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: RC Lens 3–0 FC Metz
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Lens70%
- RC Lens 70%
- Draw 20%
- FC Metz 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 69.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and RC Lens won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RC Lens: WDWDW
FC Metz: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | RC Lens vs FC Metz | 3–0 |
| 2025-10-29 | FC Metz vs RC Lens | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-12 | FC Metz vs RC Lens | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | RC Lens vs FC Metz | 0–1 |
| 2022-03-13 | FC Metz vs RC Lens | 0–0 |
| 2021-10-24 | RC Lens vs FC Metz | 4–1 |
| 2021-03-14 | RC Lens vs FC Metz | 2–2 |
| 2020-12-19 | FC Metz vs RC Lens | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RC Lens vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Lens vs FC Metz kick off?
- Sun, 08 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the RC Lens vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.