RC Lensvs
FC NantesRC Lens vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Fri, 08 May 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: RC Lens 1–0 FC Nantes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Lens63%
- RC Lens 63%
- Draw 25%
- FC Nantes 11%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 63.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RC Lens won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RC Lens: WDWDW
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | RC Lens vs FC Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Nantes vs RC Lens | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | FC Nantes vs RC Lens | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | RC Lens vs FC Nantes | 3–2 |
| 2024-02-03 | Nantes vs RC Lens | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-28 | RC Lens vs Nantes | 4–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | RC Lens vs Nantes | 3–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Nantes vs RC Lens | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-30 | RC Lens vs Nantes | 2–2 |
| 2021-12-10 | Nantes vs RC Lens | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RC Lens vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Lens vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Fri, 08 May 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the RC Lens vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.