RC Lensvs
AS Saint-EtienneRC Lens 1-0 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 06 Apr 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Lens70%
- RC Lens 70%
- Draw 19%
- AS Saint-Etienne 11%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 70.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and RC Lens won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
RC Lens: LWWLW
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | RC Lens vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-19 | AS Saint-Etienne vs RC Lens | 0–2 |
| 2022-01-15 | AS Saint-Etienne vs RC Lens | 1–2 |
| 2021-08-15 | RC Lens vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-03 | AS Saint-Etienne vs RC Lens | 2–3 |
| 2020-10-03 | RC Lens vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RC Lens vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Lens vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Sun, 06 Apr 2025 13:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the RC Lens vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.