Lille OSC crestLille OSCvsClermont Foot crestClermont Foot

Lille OSC 4-0 Clermont Foot — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2023-2024Sun, 04 Feb 2024 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lille OSC68%

  • Lille OSC 68%
  • Draw 21%
  • Clermont Foot 12%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 67.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Lille OSC won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Lille OSC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Clermont Foot's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Lille OSC: DWDWW

Clermont Foot: DDLDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.83Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-04Lille OSC vs Clermont Foot4–0
2023-12-10Clermont Foot vs Lille OSC0–0
2023-02-01Lille OSC vs Clermont Foot0–0
2022-12-28Clermont Foot vs Lille OSC0–2
2022-03-06Lille OSC vs Clermont Foot4–0
2021-10-16Clermont Foot vs Lille OSC1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Lille OSC vs Clermont Foot?
Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Lille OSC vs Clermont Foot kick off?
Sun, 04 Feb 2024 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2023-2024.
What is the Lille OSC vs Clermont Foot head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.

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