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Lille OSC crestLille OSCvsFC Nantes crestFC Nantes

Lille OSC vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Lille OSC 10 FC Nantes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lille OSC65%

Lille OSC 65%
Draw 22%
FC Nantes 13%
  • Lille OSC 65%
  • Draw 22%
  • FC Nantes 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 65.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Lille OSC won 6 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Lille OSC: WLWLW

FC Nantes: WLDLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 1.90Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01Lille OSC vs FC Nantes1–0
2025-10-19FC Nantes vs Lille OSC0–2
2025-03-15FC Nantes vs Lille OSC1–0
2025-01-04Lille OSC vs FC Nantes1–1
2024-05-12Nantes vs Lille OSC1–2
2023-08-20Lille OSC vs Nantes2–0
2023-05-27Lille OSC vs Nantes2–1
2022-08-12Nantes vs Lille OSC1–1
2022-03-19Nantes vs Lille OSC0–1
2021-11-27Lille OSC vs Nantes1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Lille OSC vs FC Nantes?
Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Lille OSC vs FC Nantes kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Lille OSC vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.

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