Lille OSC vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Lille OSC 1–0 FC Nantes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lille OSC65%
- Lille OSC 65%
- Draw 22%
- FC Nantes 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 65.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Lille OSC won 6 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Lille OSC: WLWLW
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Lille OSC vs FC Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Nantes vs Lille OSC | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-15 | FC Nantes vs Lille OSC | 1–0 |
| 2025-01-04 | Lille OSC vs FC Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Nantes vs Lille OSC | 1–2 |
| 2023-08-20 | Lille OSC vs Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2023-05-27 | Lille OSC vs Nantes | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-12 | Nantes vs Lille OSC | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Nantes vs Lille OSC | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | Lille OSC vs Nantes | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lille OSC vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lille OSC vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Lille OSC vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.