Montpellier HSCvs
FC LorientMontpellier HSC 2-0 FC Lorient — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2023-2024Sun, 07 Apr 2024 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Montpellier HSC40%
- Montpellier HSC 40%
- Draw 23%
- FC Lorient 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Montpellier HSC, rating it at 39.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Montpellier HSC won 6 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
FC Lorient: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.13Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-01 | FC Lorient vs Montpellier HSC | 0–3 |
| 2023-05-14 | Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2022-12-29 | FC Lorient vs Montpellier HSC | 0–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | FC Lorient vs Montpellier HSC | 0–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
| 2021-03-03 | Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-29 | FC Lorient vs Montpellier HSC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours Montpellier HSC (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sun, 07 Apr 2024 13:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2023-2024.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.